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Fall Forecast 2024 Summary

Your trek to the pumpkin patch may be a bit steamy this year. It looks as if The Old Farmer’s ÃÛÌÒÁµÈË is predicting a warmer-than-normal autumn this year! In fact, it should be quite warm for the western half of the United States!

The regions listed below will be warmer-than-average for this time of year:

• The Heartland (10) 
• Pacific Northwest (15) and Intermountain (13)
• Texas-Oklahoma (11) and High Plains (12)
• Pacific Southwest (16) and Desert Southwest (14)
• Alaska (17)
• Hawaii (18)

The regions listed below will be cooler-than-average for this time of year: 

• Southeast (4),  and Florida (5)
• The Lower Lakes (6), Ohio Valley (7), 
• Appalachians (3)Atlantic Corridor (2)

The Northeast (1), the Deep South (region 8), and the Upper Midwest (9) will have average temperatures for this time of year compared to historical temperatures.

Our autumn-hued weather map provides the seasonal temperature outlook:

What about rainfall? For much of the central U.S., as well as Florida (in yellow on the map below), we should be prepared for below-average rainfall. . 

The average temperatures and below-average rainfalls could translate to some pretty foliage in the Northeastern region. See our Fall Foliage Map here.

Hurricane season officially runs through November. We expect above-normal activity and the 2024 hurricane count to exceed last year’s. See more hurricane predictions.

Fall Forecast for Canada

In Canada, autumn temperatures will be warmer than normal from the Atlantic Coast (region 1) westward across the central provinces. The western provinces will be near to below normal.

Rainfall will be below normal in Atlantic Canada (region 1), Southern British Columbia (region 5) and the Prairies (region 4).

Southern Quebec (region 2) will see above normal rainfall.

September 2024 Forecast

Looking at September as a whole, we foresee near- to above-average temperatures across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Below-average temperatures are expected from the Great Lakes and Appalachians southward to the Southeast. Much of the Plains and Midwest will be on the warmer side, while Texas and Oklahoma will see a few shots of cooler, less humid air. The western United States will experience above-average temperatures for the most part, including Alaska and Hawaii. In Canada, temperatures will be near average across southern Quebec and the Maritimes, with above-average temperatures across most of the rest of the country. 

Much of the eastern third of the United States will see near- to above-average rainfall this month. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast from the Midwest and the Plains through a good part of the West. Near- to below-average precipitation is expected across Alaska and Hawaii. In Canada, rainfall will be near to above average from southern Ontario eastward to the Maritimes. The Prairies and southwestern British Columbia will be on the drier side, while parts of the Yukon and the Northwest Territories will see above-average precipitation.

See more information about the September monthly forecast.

October 2024 Forecast

October temperatures will be cooler than normal from New England southward through the Atlantic Corridor, westward across the Appalachians, and the Great Lakes through the Upper Midwest, and near to above normal across the rest of the country. 

Precipitation will be above normal from the Upper Midwest through the northern portions of the Heartland, across much of the Pacific Coast and Alaska, and near to below normal elsewhere.

See more information about the October monthly forecast, including Halloween predictions!

November 2024 Forecast

We’re expecting a warm November overall from the Great Lakes over to much of the East Coast to the central and northern Plains. Along the Gulf Coast, though, it will likely turn out a little cooler than normal. It will be on the chilly side from the Rockies over toward Washington State, while it will likely be warmer than normal from Oregon down to California. Across Canada, temperatures will mainly be near or above normal, with the exception of southern British Columbia. 

Precipitation will be near or below normal from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and the Mid-Atlantic. Much of the Deep South and Southeast will be wetter than normal. A drier than normal November is expected from the Plains all the way to the West Coast. 

 Looking at Canada, we’re expecting near- to below-normal precipitation across the Maritimes, southwestern Ontario, southern British Columbia, Yukon, and Northwest Territories. Above-normal precipitation is likely for much of the area for southern Quebec, southeastern Ontario, and the Prairies.

See more information about the November forecast, including Thanksgiving Day predictions!

Did You Know: You can always find our 60-day extended forecast on ÃÛÌÒÁµÈË.com.