Not all El Ninos are the same. The Japanese have pointed out a Central Pacific El Nino style of event that leaves California dry. (They call it a El Nino Modoki.) Most standard El Ninos, ones that stretch accross the Central and East Pacific, even weak ones, bring some great rains. Even the Japanese at this point see a chance of a normal El Nino.
Not all El Ninos are the same. The Japanese have pointed out a Central Pacific El Nino style of event that leaves California dry. (They call it a El Nino Modoki.) Most standard El Ninos, ones that stretch accross the Central and East Pacific, even weak ones, bring some great rains. Even the Japanese at this point see a chance of a normal El Nino.