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Hi Helen, Groundhog Day today is a bit of folk humor, not to be taken seriously. It may be that the animal is frightened by its shadow and, thus, retreats back inside. 

“As the light grows longer 
The cold grows stronger 
If Candlemas be fair and bright 
Winter will have another flight 
If Candlemas be cloud and rain 
Winter will be gone and not come again 
A farmer should on Candlemas day 
Have half his corn and half his hay 
On Candlemas day if thorns hang a drop 
You can be sure of a good pea crop.”
–F�DZ�����ǰ���